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QUICKTAKE

June 15, 2025

Substantial Outperformance but Still Compelling

Subscribers to the American Resilience Model Portfolio received an early Father’s Day gift last week (even the ones who are not fathers). Shares of a top portfolio holding have surged more than 20% after the company delivered a highly encouraging earnings report.


We introduced this stock to the American Resilience portfolio on July 12, 2024 and informed 76report subscribers at that time (The Comeback Kid — An AI Play with a Sensible Valuation).


Since the stock was added to the portfolio last July, the total return has been 50%. This compares very favorably to the S&P 500 total return of 8% and the NASDAQ Composite total return of 6% in the same time frame.

The shares have also outperformed all seven of the Magnificent Seven tech platform stocks, which also represent large-cap plays on the AI theme.


Still worth owning?


When a stock substantially outperforms, it may be cause for celebration but also requires investors to reevaluate the investment. Perhaps it has become too expensive.


It is one thing for a company to be great. But if the valuation overstates just how great it is, the investment going forward can be disappointing.


In retrospect, the market was severely underestimating this company’s growth profile and is only now catching up. While the stock’s valuation has grown significantly, so has its financial performance.


Perhaps most importantly, the company is establishing itself as a key player in the AI revolution that benefits from unique competitive advantages.


The shares have performed quite well, but when it comes to AI, we are still in the early innings….


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